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- Gold recovery: Comex gold futures rose by $27 per ounce on 18 May, marking a notable rebound from recent lows as bond yields stabilised.
- Silver gains: Silver futures added $1.08 per ounce, tracking gold higher amid a broadly positive session for precious metals.
- Bond yield stabilisation: The retreat in bond yields from recent peaks provided support for gold and silver, which tend to benefit from lower opportunity costs of holding non-yielding assets.
- Geopolitical risk: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to underpin crude oil prices, contributing to inflation uncertainty and supporting safe-haven demand for precious metals.
- Federal Reserve focus: The upcoming release of Fed meeting minutes could provide fresh catalyst for gold and silver, as markets look for clarity on the central bank’s policy stance amid mixed economic data.
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Key Highlights
Precious metals staged a recovery on Monday, 18 May, reversing some of the previous session's losses as bond yields stabilised. Gold futures on the Comex rebounded by $27 per ounce, while silver futures added $1.08 per ounce, according to market data. The stabilisation in bond yields provided a tailwind for non-yielding assets like gold and silver, which had come under pressure in recent weeks amid rising yields.
Meanwhile, elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to keep crude oil prices elevated, adding to inflationary concerns that could influence central bank policy. Market participants are now focusing on the release of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes, scheduled for later this week. The minutes may offer clues about the central bank’s policy trajectory, which could affect the dollar and, in turn, precious metals prices.
The rebound in gold and silver comes after a period of mixed performance, as investors weighed the impact of sticky inflation, ongoing geopolitical risks, and shifting expectations for interest rate cuts. Analysts suggest that the upcoming Fed minutes will be closely scrutinised for any hints about the timing and magnitude of potential rate adjustments.
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Expert Insights
The rebound in gold and silver highlights the ongoing sensitivity of precious metals to shifts in bond yields and macroeconomic expectations. Market participants note that the stabilisation in yields, after a period of upward pressure, has provided a temporary reprieve for bullion. However, the sustainability of the recovery may depend on the tone of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes.
Analysts suggest that if the minutes reveal a more cautious or dovish stance—reflecting concerns about economic growth or financial stability—gold and silver could see further upside. Conversely, a reaffirmation of hawkish policy signals might cap gains. The Middle East situation adds a layer of uncertainty, as any escalation could drive safe-haven flows toward gold, while a de-escalation might reduce risk premiums.
Investors are advised to monitor key support and resistance levels for gold and silver, as price action in the coming days may be driven by both technical factors and fundamental catalysts. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with the potential for volatility surrounding the Fed minutes and geopolitical developments. As always, diversification and risk management remain crucial in navigating the precious metals market.
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